Africa's Climate Response to Marine Cloud Brightening Strategies Is Highly Sensitive to Deployment Region

Abstract Solar climate intervention refers to a group of methods for reducing climate risks associated with anthropogenic warming by reflecting sunlight. Marine cloud brightening (MCB), one such approach, proposes to inject sea‐salt aerosol into one or more regional marine boundary layer to increase marine cloud reflectivity. Here, we assess the potential influence of various MCB experiments on Africa's climate using simulations from the Community Earth System Model (CESM2) with the Community Atmosphere Model (CAM6) as its atmospheric component. We analyzed four idealized MCB experiments under a medium‐range background forcing scenario (SSP2‐4.5), which brighten clouds over three subtropical ocean regions: (a) Northeast Pacific (MCB NEP ); (b) Southeast Pacific (MCB SEP ); (c) Southeast Atlantic (MCB SEA ); and (d) these three regions simultaneously (MCB ALL ). Our results suggest that the climate impacts of MCB in Africa are highly sensitive to the deployment region. MCB SEP would produce the strongest global cooling effect and thus could be the most effective in decreasing temperatures, increasing precipitation, and reducing the intensity and frequency of temperature and precipitation extremes across most parts of Africa, especially West Africa, in the future (2035–2054) compared to the historical climate (1995–2014). MCB in other regions produces less cooling and wetting despite similar radiative forcings. While the projected changes under MCB ALL are similar to those of MCB SEP , MCB NEP and MCB SEA could see more residual warming and induce a warmer future than under SSP2‐4.5 in some regions across Africa. All MCB experiments are more effective in cooling maximum temperature and related extremes than minimum temperature and related extremes.

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Publication Details

Journal
Journal of Geophysical Research Atmospheres
Published
2024-08-30
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1029/2024jd041070
Citations
3
Primary Topic
Climate Change and Geoengineering
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.85

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article

Africa's Climate Response to Marine Cloud Brightening Strategies Is Highly Sensitive to Deployment Region

Chris Lennard, Babatunde J. Abiodun, Mark New, Kwesi Akumenyi Quagraine et al.
3 citations
Journal of Geophysical Research Atmospheres
Climate Change and Geoengineering
0.85
article

Africa's Climate Response to Marine Cloud Brightening Strategies Is Highly Sensitive to Deployment Region

Chris Lennard, Babatunde J. Abiodun, Mark New, Kwesi Akumenyi Quagraine, Izidine Pinto, Haruki Hirasawa, Kouakou Kouadio, Romaric C. Odoulami, Temitope S. Egbebiyi, Trisha D. Patel
article en
3 citations

Abstract

Abstract Solar climate intervention refers to a group of methods for reducing climate risks associated with anthropogenic warming by reflecting sunlight. Marine cloud brightening (MCB), one such approach, proposes to inject sea‐salt aerosol into one or more regional marine boundary layer to increase marine cloud reflectivity. Here, we assess the potential influence of various MCB experiments on Africa's climate using simulations from the Community Earth System Model (CESM2) with the Community Atmosphere Model (CAM6) as its atmospheric component. We analyzed four idealized MCB experiments under a medium‐range background forcing scenario (SSP2‐4.5), which brighten clouds over three subtropical ocean regions: (a) Northeast Pacific (MCB NEP ); (b) Southeast Pacific (MCB SEP ); (c) Southeast Atlantic (MCB SEA ); and (d) these three regions simultaneously (MCB ALL ). Our results suggest that the climate impacts of MCB in Africa are highly sensitive to the deployment region. MCB SEP would produce the strongest global cooling effect and thus could be the most effective in decreasing temperatures, increasing precipitation, and reducing the intensity and frequency of temperature and precipitation extremes across most parts of Africa, especially West Africa, in the future (2035–2054) compared to the historical climate (1995–2014). MCB in other regions produces less cooling and wetting despite similar radiative forcings. While the projected changes under MCB ALL are similar to those of MCB SEP , MCB NEP and MCB SEA could see more residual warming and induce a warmer future than under SSP2‐4.5 in some regions across Africa. All MCB experiments are more effective in cooling maximum temperature and related extremes than minimum temperature and related extremes.

Journal of Geophysical Research AtmospheresVol. 129(17)
NSF National Center for Atmospheric Research (US), Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute (NL), University of Cape Town (ZA), University of Washington (US), University of Victoria (CA), South African Tuberculosis Vaccine Initiative (ZA), Université Félix Houphouët-Boigny (CI)
National Science Foundation, Carnegie Corporation of New York, National Center for Atmospheric Research, Amazon Web Services, National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine, Royal Society, University of Cambridge, National Research Foundation, Abdus Salam International Centre for Theoretical Physics, Climate Extremes, Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency
Climate action, Life below water
Openalex Percentile: Top 28%
Climate Change and Geoengineering
0.85
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