Spatiotemporal Modeling of Aedes aegypti Risk: Enhancing Dengue Virus Control through Meteorological and Remote Sensing Data in French Guiana

French Guiana lacks a dedicated model for developing an early warning system tailored to its entomological contexts. We employed a spatiotemporal modeling approach to predict the risk of <i>Aedes aegypti</i> larvae presence in local households in French Guiana. The model integrated field data on larvae, environmental data obtained from very high-spatial-resolution Pleiades imagery, and meteorological data collected from September 2011 to February 2013 in an urban area of French Guiana. The identified environmental and meteorological factors were used to generate dynamic maps with high spatial and temporal resolution. The study collected larval data from 261 different surveyed houses, with each house being surveyed between one and three times. Of the observations, 41% were positive for the presence of <i>Aedes aegypti</i> larvae. We modeled the <i>Aedes</i> larvae risk within a radius of 50 to 200 m around houses using six explanatory variables and extrapolated the findings to other urban municipalities during the 2020 dengue epidemic in French Guiana. This study highlights the potential of spatiotemporal modeling approaches to predict and monitor the evolution of vector-borne disease transmission risk, representing a major opportunity to monitor the evolution of vector risk and provide valuable information for public health authorities.

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Publication Details

Journal
Pathogens
Published
2024-08-29
DOI
https://doi.org/10.3390/pathogens13090738
Primary Topic
Mosquito-borne diseases and control
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00
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article

Spatiotemporal Modeling of Aedes aegypti Risk: Enhancing Dengue Virus Control through Meteorological and Remote Sensing Data in French Guiana

Vanessa Machault, Philippe Palany, Sarah Bailly, Romain Girod et al.
Pathogens
Mosquito-borne diseases and control
article

Spatiotemporal Modeling of Aedes aegypti Risk: Enhancing Dengue Virus Control through Meteorological and Remote Sensing Data in French Guiana

Vanessa Machault, Philippe Palany, Sarah Bailly, Romain Girod, Samuel Bénéteau, Camille Fritzell, Claude Flamand, P. Quénel, Jean‐Pierre Lacaux
article en

Abstract

French Guiana lacks a dedicated model for developing an early warning system tailored to its entomological contexts. We employed a spatiotemporal modeling approach to predict the risk of <i>Aedes aegypti</i> larvae presence in local households in French Guiana. The model integrated field data on larvae, environmental data obtained from very high-spatial-resolution Pleiades imagery, and meteorological data collected from September 2011 to February 2013 in an urban area of French Guiana. The identified environmental and meteorological factors were used to generate dynamic maps with high spatial and temporal resolution. The study collected larval data from 261 different surveyed houses, with each house being surveyed between one and three times. Of the observations, 41% were positive for the presence of <i>Aedes aegypti</i> larvae. We modeled the <i>Aedes</i> larvae risk within a radius of 50 to 200 m around houses using six explanatory variables and extrapolated the findings to other urban municipalities during the 2020 dengue epidemic in French Guiana. This study highlights the potential of spatiotemporal modeling approaches to predict and monitor the evolution of vector-borne disease transmission risk, representing a major opportunity to monitor the evolution of vector risk and provide valuable information for public health authorities.

PathogensVol. 13(9)
Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (FR), Université Toulouse III - Paul Sabatier (FR), Inserm (FR), Institut Pasteur (FR), École des Hautes Études en Santé Publique (FR), Institut Pasteur de la Guyane (GF), Institut de Recherche en Santé, Environnement et Travail (FR), Météo-France (FR), Observatoire Midi-Pyrénées (FR), Institut Pasteur du Cambodge (KH)
Good health and well-being
Openalex Percentile: Top 79%
Mosquito-borne diseases and control
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