Application of different earthquake-induced landslide hazard assessment models on the 2022 Ms 6.8 luding earthquake

Following the earthquake, prompt evaluation of the distribution of coseismic landslides and estimation of potential disaster losses are crucial for emergency response and resettlement planning. The Luding earthquake of 2022 offers a valuable opportunity to conduct a rapid assessment of coseismic landslides using various models. In this study, we utilize the Logistic Regression (LR)-based Xu 2019 model, a new-generation model developed in China, alongside the Newmark model to perform the rapid hazard assessment of coseismic landslides. Assessing the accuracy and applicability of these two models based on the coseismic landslides from the Luding earthquake, we find that within intensity area of IX, the high probability area identified by the Newmark model aligns closely with the actual distribution of landslides. However, the Newmark model’s prediction is overestimated in the intensity area of VIII. For the Xu 2019 model, the prediction results are in good agreement with the distribution of actual landslides. Most landslides are located in high probability areas, such as Detuo town, Wandong, and Xingfu villages, indicating that the model has a higher prediction accuracy. Overall, two models have good practical utility in emergency hazard assessment of coseismic landslides. However, the Newmark model requires multi-input parameters and the assignment of these parameters will increase the uncertainty and subjectivity in the practical application of the modeling assessment.

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Publication Details

Journal
Frontiers in Earth Science
Published
2024-08-20
DOI
https://doi.org/10.3389/feart.2024.1429421
Citations
2
Primary Topic
Landslides and related hazards
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
1.42
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article

Application of different earthquake-induced landslide hazard assessment models on the 2022 Ms 6.8 luding earthquake

Siyuan Ma, Lu Yao, Chaoxu Xia
2 citations
Frontiers in Earth Science
Landslides and related hazards
1.42
article

Application of different earthquake-induced landslide hazard assessment models on the 2022 Ms 6.8 luding earthquake

Siyuan Ma, Lu Yao, Chaoxu Xia
article en
2 citations

Abstract

Following the earthquake, prompt evaluation of the distribution of coseismic landslides and estimation of potential disaster losses are crucial for emergency response and resettlement planning. The Luding earthquake of 2022 offers a valuable opportunity to conduct a rapid assessment of coseismic landslides using various models. In this study, we utilize the Logistic Regression (LR)-based Xu 2019 model, a new-generation model developed in China, alongside the Newmark model to perform the rapid hazard assessment of coseismic landslides. Assessing the accuracy and applicability of these two models based on the coseismic landslides from the Luding earthquake, we find that within intensity area of IX, the high probability area identified by the Newmark model aligns closely with the actual distribution of landslides. However, the Newmark model’s prediction is overestimated in the intensity area of VIII. For the Xu 2019 model, the prediction results are in good agreement with the distribution of actual landslides. Most landslides are located in high probability areas, such as Detuo town, Wandong, and Xingfu villages, indicating that the model has a higher prediction accuracy. Overall, two models have good practical utility in emergency hazard assessment of coseismic landslides. However, the Newmark model requires multi-input parameters and the assignment of these parameters will increase the uncertainty and subjectivity in the practical application of the modeling assessment.

Frontiers in Earth ScienceVol. 12
Institute of Geology, China Earthquake Administration, China Earthquake Administration (CN)
Climate action
Openalex Percentile: Top 15%
Landslides and related hazards
1.42
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