Analysis of Traveller Growth Trends After the COVID-19 Pandemic Based on Accommodation Types in Yogyakarta

The global tourism industry, including the Yogyakarta Special District, is severely affected by the Covid-19 pandemicHowever, as a result of policies that supported and strengthened tourism infrastructure from 2020 to 2022, there has been considerable progress in the number of foreign and domestic tourist visits. This positive trend can continue and make a greater contribution to the development of a region. This study aims to identify the annual trend of growth of this group of travellers, select popular tourist attractions, and predict the trend of foreign and domestic tourist arrivals in Yogyakarta Special District based on the type of hotel in 2023. The basic sample of the research consists of 36 months from 2020 to 2022. The research was conducted quantitatively and focused on time series analysis using a linear trend model. The results of the study show that foreign tourists are far fewer than domestic tourists, but the trend in the percentage growth of foreign tourists from 2020 to 2022 is greater than the growth trend of domestic tourists; The growth of domestic and foreign tourists peaked in July 2020 and March 2022, respectively; Domestic tourists are more interested in nature sights, with Bantul Parangtritis Beach as their favourite location. Meanwhile, foreign tourists are more interested in historical attractions, with Yogyakarta's Taman Sari as their favourite; Forecasting the trend of foreign and domestic tourist arrivals to the Special Region of Yogyakarta for 2023 shows an increasing number with a decreasing growth percentage in the same period.