xLSTMTime: Long-Term Time Series Forecasting with xLSTM

In recent years, transformer-based models have gained prominence in multivariate long-term time series forecasting (LTSF), demonstrating significant advancements despite facing challenges such as high computational demands, difficulty in capturing temporal dynamics, and managing long-term dependencies. The emergence of LTSF-Linear, with its straightforward linear architecture, has notably outperformed transformer-based counterparts, prompting a reevaluation of the transformer’s utility in time series forecasting. In response, this paper presents an adaptation of a recent architecture, termed extended LSTM (xLSTM), for LTSF. xLSTM incorporates exponential gating and a revised memory structure with higher capacity that has good potential for LTSF. Our adopted architecture for LTSF, termed xLSTMTime, surpasses current approaches. We compare xLSTMTime’s performance against various state-of-the-art models across multiple real-world datasets, demonstrating superior forecasting capabilities. Our findings suggest that refined recurrent architectures can offer competitive alternatives to transformer-based models in LTSF tasks, potentially redefining the landscape of time series forecasting.

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Publication Details

Journal
AI
Published
2024-08-23
DOI
https://doi.org/10.3390/ai5030071
Citations
54
Primary Topic
Time Series Analysis and Forecasting
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
18.91
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article

xLSTMTime: Long-Term Time Series Forecasting with xLSTM

Ausif Mahmood, Musleh Alharthi
54 citations
AI
Time Series Analysis and Forecasting
18.91
article

xLSTMTime: Long-Term Time Series Forecasting with xLSTM

Ausif Mahmood, Musleh Alharthi
article en
54 citations

Abstract

In recent years, transformer-based models have gained prominence in multivariate long-term time series forecasting (LTSF), demonstrating significant advancements despite facing challenges such as high computational demands, difficulty in capturing temporal dynamics, and managing long-term dependencies. The emergence of LTSF-Linear, with its straightforward linear architecture, has notably outperformed transformer-based counterparts, prompting a reevaluation of the transformer’s utility in time series forecasting. In response, this paper presents an adaptation of a recent architecture, termed extended LSTM (xLSTM), for LTSF. xLSTM incorporates exponential gating and a revised memory structure with higher capacity that has good potential for LTSF. Our adopted architecture for LTSF, termed xLSTMTime, surpasses current approaches. We compare xLSTMTime’s performance against various state-of-the-art models across multiple real-world datasets, demonstrating superior forecasting capabilities. Our findings suggest that refined recurrent architectures can offer competitive alternatives to transformer-based models in LTSF tasks, potentially redefining the landscape of time series forecasting.

AIVol. 5(3)
University of Bridgeport (US)
Industry, innovation and infrastructure
Openalex Percentile: Top 0%
Time Series Analysis and Forecasting
18.91
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