Assessments of various precipitation product performances and disaster monitoring utilities over the Tibetan Plateau

The Tibetan Plateau, often referred to as Asia's water tower, is a focal point for studying spatiotemporal changes in water resources amidst global warming. Precipitation is a crucial water resource for the Tibetan Plateau. Precipitation information holds significant importance in supporting research on the Tibetan Plateau. In this study, we estimate the performance and applicability of Climate Prediction Center Merged Analysis of Precipitation (CMAP), Integrated Multi-Satellite Retrievals for Global Precipitation Measurement (IMERG), Global Land Data Assimilation System (GLDAS), and Global Precipitation Climatology Project (GPCP) precipitation products for estimating precipitation and different disaster scenarios (including extreme precipitation, drought, and snow) across the Tibetan Plateau. Extreme precipitation and drought indexes are employed to describe extreme precipitation and drought conditions. We evaluated the performance of various precipitation products using daily precipitation time series from 2000 to 2014. Statistical metrics were used to estimate and compare the performances of different precipitation products. The results indicate that (1) Both CMAP and IMERG showed higher fitting degrees with gauge precipitation observations in daily precipitation. Probability of detection, False Alarm Ratio, and Critical Success Index values of CMAP and IMERG were approximately 0.42 to 0.72, 0.38 to 0.56, and 0.30 to 0.42, respectively. Different precipitation products presented higher daily average precipitation amount and frequency in southeastern Tibetan Plateau. (2) CMAP and GPCP precipitation products showed relatively great and poor performance, respectively, in predicting daily and monthly precipitation on the plateau. False alarms might have a notable impact on the accuracy of precipitation products. (3) Extreme precipitation amount could be better predicted by precipitation products. Extreme precipitation day could be badly predicted by precipitation products. Different precipitation products showed that the bias of drought estimation increased as the time scale increased. (4) GLDAS series products might have relatively better performance in simulating (main range of RMSE: 2.0-4.5) snowfall than rainfall and sleet in plateau. G-Noah demonstrated slightly better performance in simulating snowfall (main range of RMSE: 1.0-2.1) than rainfall (main range of RMSE: 2.0-3.8) and sleet (main range of RMSE: 1.5-3.8). This study's findings contribute to understanding the performance variations among different precipitation products and identifying potential factors contributing to biases within these products. Additionally, the study sheds light on disaster characteristics and warning systems specific to the Tibetan Plateau.

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Publication Details

Journal
Scientific Reports
Published
2024-08-26
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-024-70547-8
Citations
9
Primary Topic
Precipitation Measurement and Analysis
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
3.39

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article

Assessments of various precipitation product performances and disaster monitoring utilities over the Tibetan Plateau

Tianqi Ao, Li Zhou, Fengzuo Wang, Renjuan Wei et al.
9 citations
Scientific Reports
Precipitation Measurement and Analysis
3.39
article

Assessments of various precipitation product performances and disaster monitoring utilities over the Tibetan Plateau

Tianqi Ao, Li Zhou, Fengzuo Wang, Renjuan Wei, Peng Sun, Yibo Ding, Zehua Lu
article en
9 citations

Abstract

The Tibetan Plateau, often referred to as Asia's water tower, is a focal point for studying spatiotemporal changes in water resources amidst global warming. Precipitation is a crucial water resource for the Tibetan Plateau. Precipitation information holds significant importance in supporting research on the Tibetan Plateau. In this study, we estimate the performance and applicability of Climate Prediction Center Merged Analysis of Precipitation (CMAP), Integrated Multi-Satellite Retrievals for Global Precipitation Measurement (IMERG), Global Land Data Assimilation System (GLDAS), and Global Precipitation Climatology Project (GPCP) precipitation products for estimating precipitation and different disaster scenarios (including extreme precipitation, drought, and snow) across the Tibetan Plateau. Extreme precipitation and drought indexes are employed to describe extreme precipitation and drought conditions. We evaluated the performance of various precipitation products using daily precipitation time series from 2000 to 2014. Statistical metrics were used to estimate and compare the performances of different precipitation products. The results indicate that (1) Both CMAP and IMERG showed higher fitting degrees with gauge precipitation observations in daily precipitation. Probability of detection, False Alarm Ratio, and Critical Success Index values of CMAP and IMERG were approximately 0.42 to 0.72, 0.38 to 0.56, and 0.30 to 0.42, respectively. Different precipitation products presented higher daily average precipitation amount and frequency in southeastern Tibetan Plateau. (2) CMAP and GPCP precipitation products showed relatively great and poor performance, respectively, in predicting daily and monthly precipitation on the plateau. False alarms might have a notable impact on the accuracy of precipitation products. (3) Extreme precipitation amount could be better predicted by precipitation products. Extreme precipitation day could be badly predicted by precipitation products. Different precipitation products showed that the bias of drought estimation increased as the time scale increased. (4) GLDAS series products might have relatively better performance in simulating (main range of RMSE: 2.0-4.5) snowfall than rainfall and sleet in plateau. G-Noah demonstrated slightly better performance in simulating snowfall (main range of RMSE: 1.0-2.1) than rainfall (main range of RMSE: 2.0-3.8) and sleet (main range of RMSE: 1.5-3.8). This study's findings contribute to understanding the performance variations among different precipitation products and identifying potential factors contributing to biases within these products. Additionally, the study sheds light on disaster characteristics and warning systems specific to the Tibetan Plateau.

Scientific ReportsVol. 14(1)
Hong Kong Polytechnic University (HK), Northeast Agricultural University (CN), Sichuan University (CN), Health and Family Planning Commission of Sichuan Province (CN), Yalong Hydro (China) (CN), Yellow River Institute of Hydraulic Research (CN), State Key Laboratory of Hydraulics and Mountain River Engineering
Department of Science and Technology of Sichuan Province, Sichuan University, Science and Technology Department of Tibet
Climate action
Openalex Percentile: Top 7%
Precipitation Measurement and Analysis
3.39
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