People Place Larger Bets When Risky Choices Provide a Postbet Option to Cash Out

After a risky choice, decision makers must frequently wait out a delay period before the outcome of their choice becomes known. In contemporary sports-betting apps, decision makers can "cash out" of their bet during this delay period by accepting a discounted immediate payout. An important open question is how availability of a postchoice cash-out option alters choice. We investigated this question using a novel gambling task that incorporated a cash-out option during the delay between bet and outcome. Across two experiments (<i>N</i> = 240 adults, recruited via Prolific), cash-out availability increased participants' bet amounts by up to 35%. Participants who were more likely to cash out when odds deteriorated were less likely to cash out when odds improved. Furthermore, the effect of cash-out availability on bet amounts was positively correlated with individual differences in cash-out propensity for bets with deteriorating odds only. These results suggest that cash-out availability may promote larger bets by allowing bettors to avoid losing their entire stake.

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Publication Details

Journal
Psychological Science
Published
2024-08-26
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1177/09567976241266516
Citations
3
Primary Topic
Decision-Making and Behavioral Economics
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
1.61
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article

People Place Larger Bets When Risky Choices Provide a Postbet Option to Cash Out

Elliot A. Ludvig, Daniel Bennett, Lucy Albertella, Ty Hayes et al.
3 citations
Psychological Science
Decision-Making and Behavioral Economics
1.61
article

People Place Larger Bets When Risky Choices Provide a Postbet Option to Cash Out

Elliot A. Ludvig, Daniel Bennett, Lucy Albertella, Ty Hayes, Lukasz Walasek, Antonio Verdejo‐García, Laura Forbes
article en
3 citations

Abstract

After a risky choice, decision makers must frequently wait out a delay period before the outcome of their choice becomes known. In contemporary sports-betting apps, decision makers can "cash out" of their bet during this delay period by accepting a discounted immediate payout. An important open question is how availability of a postchoice cash-out option alters choice. We investigated this question using a novel gambling task that incorporated a cash-out option during the delay between bet and outcome. Across two experiments (<i>N</i> = 240 adults, recruited via Prolific), cash-out availability increased participants' bet amounts by up to 35%. Participants who were more likely to cash out when odds deteriorated were less likely to cash out when odds improved. Furthermore, the effect of cash-out availability on bet amounts was positively correlated with individual differences in cash-out propensity for bets with deteriorating odds only. These results suggest that cash-out availability may promote larger bets by allowing bettors to avoid losing their entire stake.

Psychological ScienceVol. 35(11)
University of Warwick (GB), Monash University (AU)
Peace, Justice and strong institutions
Openalex Percentile: Top 17%
Decision-Making and Behavioral Economics
1.61
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People Place Larger Bets When Risky Choices Provide a Postbet Option to Cash Out — Elliot A. Ludvig, Daniel Bennett, et al. · Psychological Science (2024) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS