People Place Larger Bets When Risky Choices Provide a Postbet Option to Cash Out
After a risky choice, decision makers must frequently wait out a delay period before the outcome of their choice becomes known. In contemporary sports-betting apps, decision makers can "cash out" of their bet during this delay period by accepting a discounted immediate payout. An important open question is how availability of a postchoice cash-out option alters choice. We investigated this question using a novel gambling task that incorporated a cash-out option during the delay between bet and outcome. Across two experiments (<i>N</i> = 240 adults, recruited via Prolific), cash-out availability increased participants' bet amounts by up to 35%. Participants who were more likely to cash out when odds deteriorated were less likely to cash out when odds improved. Furthermore, the effect of cash-out availability on bet amounts was positively correlated with individual differences in cash-out propensity for bets with deteriorating odds only. These results suggest that cash-out availability may promote larger bets by allowing bettors to avoid losing their entire stake.
Authors
- Elliot A. Ludvig (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0031-6713)
- Daniel Bennett (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6608-9026)
- Lucy Albertella (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5232-6414)
- Ty Hayes (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0009-0002-3480-5213)
- Lukasz Walasek (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7360-0037)
- Antonio Verdejo‐García (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8874-9339)
- Laura Forbes
Institutions
- University of Warwick (GB)
- Monash University (AU)
Publication Details
- Journal
- Psychological Science
- Published
- 2024-08-26
- DOI
- https://doi.org/10.1177/09567976241266516
- Citations
- 3
- Primary Topic
- Decision-Making and Behavioral Economics
- Type
- article
- Field-Weighted Citation Impact
- 1.61