A multi‐objective optimization metaheuristic hybrid technique for forecasting the electricity consumption of the UAE: A grey wolf approach

Abstract By implementing a multi‐objective optimization approach in forecasting, we introduce three optimization models grey wolf optimizer, genetic algorithm, and differential evolution algorithm combined with multilayer perceptron neural networks and support vector machines to predict electricity consumption in the UAE. The hybrid models' accuracy and efficiency were evaluated using various forecasting metrics. This study's contributions are threefold: it is the first to employ such a sophisticated hybrid approach, particularly using the recently introduced grey wolf optimizer, it compares optimization techniques with the established Pearson correlation‐based method for dimensionality reduction and it represents one of the most extensive macroeconomic forecasts in the UAE using multi‐objective heuristic hybrid optimization methods. Our findings indicate that the grey wolf optimizer significantly outperforms all other models, followed by the genetic algorithm.

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Publication Details

Journal
Journal of Forecasting
Published
2024-08-23
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1002/for.3187
Primary Topic
Energy Load and Power Forecasting
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
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article

A multi‐objective optimization metaheuristic hybrid technique for forecasting the electricity consumption of the UAE: A grey wolf approach

Skander Slim, Hans‐Jörg von Mettenheim, Andreas Karathanasopoulos, Chia Chun Lo et al.
Journal of Forecasting
Energy Load and Power Forecasting
article

A multi‐objective optimization metaheuristic hybrid technique for forecasting the electricity consumption of the UAE: A grey wolf approach

Skander Slim, Hans‐Jörg von Mettenheim, Andreas Karathanasopoulos, Chia Chun Lo, Mitra Sovan, Mohamed Osman
article en

Abstract

Abstract By implementing a multi‐objective optimization approach in forecasting, we introduce three optimization models grey wolf optimizer, genetic algorithm, and differential evolution algorithm combined with multilayer perceptron neural networks and support vector machines to predict electricity consumption in the UAE. The hybrid models' accuracy and efficiency were evaluated using various forecasting metrics. This study's contributions are threefold: it is the first to employ such a sophisticated hybrid approach, particularly using the recently introduced grey wolf optimizer, it compares optimization techniques with the established Pearson correlation‐based method for dimensionality reduction and it represents one of the most extensive macroeconomic forecasts in the UAE using multi‐objective heuristic hybrid optimization methods. Our findings indicate that the grey wolf optimizer significantly outperforms all other models, followed by the genetic algorithm.

Journal of ForecastingVol. 44(1)
University of Dubai (AE), IPAG Business School (FR), Guolian Futures (China) (CN), University of Westminster (GB)
Affordable and clean energy
Openalex Percentile: Top 89%
Energy Load and Power Forecasting
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A multi‐objective optimization metaheuristic hybrid technique for forecasting the electricity consumption of the UAE: A grey wolf approach — Skander Slim, Hans‐Jörg von Mettenheim, et al. · Journal of Forecasting (2024) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS