Study on Short-Term Electricity Load Forecasting Based on the Modified Simplex Approach Sparrow Search Algorithm Mixed with a Bidirectional Long- and Short-Term Memory Network

In order to balance power supply and demand, which is crucial for the safe and effective functioning of power systems, short-term power load forecasting is a crucial component of power system planning and operation. This paper aims to address the issue of low prediction accuracy resulting from power load volatility and nonlinearity. It suggests optimizing the number of hidden layer nodes, number of iterations, and learning rate of bi-directional long- and short-term memory networks using the improved sparrow search algorithm, and predicting the actual load data using the load prediction model. Using actual power load data from Wuxi, Jiangsu Province, China, as a dataset, the model makes predictions. The results indicate that the model is effective because the enhanced sparrow algorithm optimizes the bi-directional long- and short-term memory network model for predicting the power load data with a relative error of only 2%, which is higher than the prediction accuracy of the other models proposed in the paper.

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Publication Details

Journal
Processes
Published
2024-08-23
DOI
https://doi.org/10.3390/pr12091796
Citations
7
Primary Topic
Energy Load and Power Forecasting
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
1.46

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article

Study on Short-Term Electricity Load Forecasting Based on the Modified Simplex Approach Sparrow Search Algorithm Mixed with a Bidirectional Long- and Short-Term Memory Network

Wensi Cao, Chenjun Zhang, F. Zhang, Fuyang Gou
7 citations
Processes
Energy Load and Power Forecasting
1.46
article

Study on Short-Term Electricity Load Forecasting Based on the Modified Simplex Approach Sparrow Search Algorithm Mixed with a Bidirectional Long- and Short-Term Memory Network

Wensi Cao, Chenjun Zhang, F. Zhang, Fuyang Gou
article en
7 citations

Abstract

In order to balance power supply and demand, which is crucial for the safe and effective functioning of power systems, short-term power load forecasting is a crucial component of power system planning and operation. This paper aims to address the issue of low prediction accuracy resulting from power load volatility and nonlinearity. It suggests optimizing the number of hidden layer nodes, number of iterations, and learning rate of bi-directional long- and short-term memory networks using the improved sparrow search algorithm, and predicting the actual load data using the load prediction model. Using actual power load data from Wuxi, Jiangsu Province, China, as a dataset, the model makes predictions. The results indicate that the model is effective because the enhanced sparrow algorithm optimizes the bi-directional long- and short-term memory network model for predicting the power load data with a relative error of only 2%, which is higher than the prediction accuracy of the other models proposed in the paper.

ProcessesVol. 12(9)
Jiangsu University (CN), North China University of Water Resources and Electric Power (CN), Luoyang Institute of Science and Technology (CN)
Henan Provincial Science and Technology Research Project
Affordable and clean energy
Openalex Percentile: Top 18%
Energy Load and Power Forecasting
1.46
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