Corporate Debt Maturity Matters for Monetary Policy

We provide novel empirical evidence that firms’ investment is more responsive to monetary policy when a higher fraction of their debt matures. In a heterogeneous firm New Keynesian model with financial frictions and endogenous debt maturity, two channels explain this finding: (1.) Firms with more maturing debt have larger roll-over needs and are therefore more exposed to fluctuations in the real interest rate (roll-over risk). (2.) These firms also have higher default risk and therefore react more strongly to changes in the real burden of outstanding nominal debt (debt overhang). Unconventional monetary policy, which operates through long-term interest rates, has larger effects on debt maturity but smaller effects on output and inflation than conventional monetary policy.

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Publication Details

Journal
Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, Working Paper Series
Published
2024-08-16
DOI
https://doi.org/10.24148/wp2024-30
Citations
34
Primary Topic
Global Financial Crisis and Policies
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
11.86

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article

Corporate Debt Maturity Matters for Monetary Policy

Matthias Meier, Timo Reinelt, Joachim Jungherr
34 citations
Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, Working Paper Series
Global Financial Crisis and Policies
11.86
article

Corporate Debt Maturity Matters for Monetary Policy

Matthias Meier, Timo Reinelt, Joachim Jungherr
article en
34 citations

Abstract

We provide novel empirical evidence that firms’ investment is more responsive to monetary policy when a higher fraction of their debt matures. In a heterogeneous firm New Keynesian model with financial frictions and endogenous debt maturity, two channels explain this finding: (1.) Firms with more maturing debt have larger roll-over needs and are therefore more exposed to fluctuations in the real interest rate (roll-over risk). (2.) These firms also have higher default risk and therefore react more strongly to changes in the real burden of outstanding nominal debt (debt overhang). Unconventional monetary policy, which operates through long-term interest rates, has larger effects on debt maturity but smaller effects on output and inflation than conventional monetary policy.

Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, Working Paper SeriesVol. 2024(30)
University of Bonn (DE), University of Mannheim (DE), Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco (US)
European Commission, Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft
Partnerships for the goals
Openalex Percentile: Top 1%
Global Financial Crisis and Policies
11.86
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