Wind power generation forecasting based on multi‐model fusion via blending ensemble learning architecture

Abstract Because of the intermittency and randomness of wind power generation, constructing an accurate wind power generation forecasting model is of great necessity for stable operation and optimal scheduling of modern power systems. Considering the unsatisfied performance of the single learner model and the diverse learning abilities of different machine learning algorithms, XGBoost model, KNN algorithm, SVM algorithm, and CNN‐BiLSTM‐Attention neural network are integrated via blending ensemble architecture to construct the multi‐model fusion short‐term wind power forecasting model. Pearson correlation analysis is applied to reveal the interrelation between meteorological factors and wind power. Additionally, the training samples of base learners are reconstructed for ensuring all data can be utilized. The advantages of each learner are combined co‐ordinately via blending ensemble learning framework. Prediction results of ensemble learning model and single learner model are compared in the same scenario. Simulation results indicate that the ensemble learning model can effectively extract potential features of input information and realize higher prediction accuracy.

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Publication Details

Journal
Electronics Letters
Published
2024-08-01
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1049/ell2.13314
Citations
3
Primary Topic
Energy Load and Power Forecasting
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.63

Funders

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article

Wind power generation forecasting based on multi‐model fusion via blending ensemble learning architecture

Jianming Qi, Yanpeng Hou, Jian Wang, Zhiqi Ma
3 citations
Electronics Letters
Energy Load and Power Forecasting
0.63
article

Wind power generation forecasting based on multi‐model fusion via blending ensemble learning architecture

Jianming Qi, Yanpeng Hou, Jian Wang, Zhiqi Ma
article en
3 citations

Abstract

Abstract Because of the intermittency and randomness of wind power generation, constructing an accurate wind power generation forecasting model is of great necessity for stable operation and optimal scheduling of modern power systems. Considering the unsatisfied performance of the single learner model and the diverse learning abilities of different machine learning algorithms, XGBoost model, KNN algorithm, SVM algorithm, and CNN‐BiLSTM‐Attention neural network are integrated via blending ensemble architecture to construct the multi‐model fusion short‐term wind power forecasting model. Pearson correlation analysis is applied to reveal the interrelation between meteorological factors and wind power. Additionally, the training samples of base learners are reconstructed for ensuring all data can be utilized. The advantages of each learner are combined co‐ordinately via blending ensemble learning framework. Prediction results of ensemble learning model and single learner model are compared in the same scenario. Simulation results indicate that the ensemble learning model can effectively extract potential features of input information and realize higher prediction accuracy.

Electronics LettersVol. 60(16)
Shanghai Electric (China) (CN)
State Grid Corporation of China, Science and Technology Project of State Grid
Affordable and clean energy
Openalex Percentile: Top 32%
Energy Load and Power Forecasting
0.63
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