IDENTIFYING RISK FACTORS FOR DISEASE PROGRESSION IN DEVELOPMENTAL DYSPLASIA OF THE HIP USING A CONTRALATERAL HIP MODEL

Developmental dysplasia of the hip can cause pain and premature osteoarthritis. However, the risk factors and timing for disease progression in young adults are not fully defined. This study identified the incidence and risk factors for contralateral hip pain and surgery after periacetabular osteotomy (PAO) on an index dysplastic hip. Patients followed for 2+ years after unilateral PAO were grouped by eventual contralateral pain or no-pain, based on modified Harris Hip Score, and surgery or no-surgery. Univariate analysis tested group differences in demographics, radiographic measures, and range-of-motion. Kaplan-Meier survival analysis assessed pain development and contralateral hip surgery over time. Multivariate regression identified pain and surgery risk factors. Pain and surgery predictors were further analyzed in Dysplastic, Borderline, and Non-dysplastic subcategories, and in five-degree increments of lateral center edge angle (LCEA) and acetabular inclination (AI). 184 patients were followed for 4.6±1.6 years, during which 51% (93/184) reported hip pain and 33% (60/184) underwent contralateral surgery. Kaplan-Meier analysis predicted 5-year survivorship of 49% for pain development and 66% for contralateral surgery. Painful hips exhibited more severe dysplasia than no-pain hips (LCEA 16.5º vs 20.3º, p<0.001; AI 13.2º vs 10.0º p<0.001). AI was the sole predictor of pain, with every 1° AI increase raising the risk by 11%. Surgical hips also had more severe dysplasia (LCEA 14.9º vs 20.0º, p<0.001; AI 14.7º vs 10.2º p<0.001) and were younger (21.6 vs 24.1 years, p=0.022). AI and a maximum alpha angle ≥55° predicted contralateral surgery. 5 years after index hip PAO, 51% of contralateral hips experience pain and 34% percent are expected to need surgery. More severe dysplasia, based on LCEA and AI, increases the risk of contralateral hip pain and surgery, with AI being a predictor of both outcomes. Knowing these risks can inform patient counseling and treatment planning.