Momentum Prediction Model Combining Markov Chain And MLP

In sports competitions, it is common for a certain player to dominate and score consecutively, which can be described as the effect of "momentum". To portray the abstract momentum to describe the change of athletes' state during the competition, and thus provide technical support for the subsequent training of athletes, a volume prediction model combining Markov chain and MLP is proposed. Firstly, the resultant variables are calculated by the entropy value method for momentum scoring, after that, technical indicators are considered, Markov features are calculated by the Markov chain model and added into the MLP model for momentum prediction, and finally, the important factors determining the momentum are analyzed by SHAP method. The experimental results show that the accuracy of predicting athletes' state reaches 98%, which can provide credible race reviews and guidance suggestions.

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Publication Details

Journal
Highlights in Science Engineering and Technology
Published
2024-08-15
DOI
https://doi.org/10.54097/wbvghq46
Primary Topic
Explainable Artificial Intelligence (XAI)
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00
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article

Momentum Prediction Model Combining Markov Chain And MLP

Haoxin Chen, Jiaye Xu, Anqi Xing
Highlights in Science Engineering and Technology
Explainable Artificial Intelligence (XAI)
article

Momentum Prediction Model Combining Markov Chain And MLP

Haoxin Chen, Jiaye Xu, Anqi Xing
article en

Abstract

In sports competitions, it is common for a certain player to dominate and score consecutively, which can be described as the effect of "momentum". To portray the abstract momentum to describe the change of athletes' state during the competition, and thus provide technical support for the subsequent training of athletes, a volume prediction model combining Markov chain and MLP is proposed. Firstly, the resultant variables are calculated by the entropy value method for momentum scoring, after that, technical indicators are considered, Markov features are calculated by the Markov chain model and added into the MLP model for momentum prediction, and finally, the important factors determining the momentum are analyzed by SHAP method. The experimental results show that the accuracy of predicting athletes' state reaches 98%, which can provide credible race reviews and guidance suggestions.

Highlights in Science Engineering and TechnologyVol. 107
Hebei University of Technology (CN)
Openalex Percentile: Top 89%
Explainable Artificial Intelligence (XAI)
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Momentum Prediction Model Combining Markov Chain And MLP — Haoxin Chen, Jiaye Xu, et al. · Highlights in Science Engineering and Technology (2024) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS