Testing for Consumer Risk-Pooling in the Open Economy – further Results

Abstract In this supplement to Minford et al. Int J Financ Econ 26(2):19932021 (2021), we revisit the ‘puzzle’ in open economy studies that evidence of international risk-sharing is hardly seen despite active cross-country financial markets. We reassess both risk-pooling via state-contingent bonds, and uncovered interest parity – both were believed to be different, and spuriously rejected, in previous work – in the context of a full DSGE model of the New Keynesian type. We prove that the two models are identical, both analytically and numerically. When tested as part of such a full DSGE model by indirect inference which circumvents the bias of single-equation tests, we find universal evidence of international risk-sharing.

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Publication Details

Journal
Open Economies Review
Published
2024-08-16
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/s11079-024-09782-5
Primary Topic
Monetary Policy and Economic Impact
Type
article
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article

Testing for Consumer Risk-Pooling in the Open Economy – further Results

Zhirong Ou, Patrick Minford, Zheyi Zhu
Open Economies Review
Monetary Policy and Economic Impact
article

Testing for Consumer Risk-Pooling in the Open Economy – further Results

Zhirong Ou, Patrick Minford, Zheyi Zhu
article en

Abstract

Abstract In this supplement to Minford et al. Int J Financ Econ 26(2):19932021 (2021), we revisit the ‘puzzle’ in open economy studies that evidence of international risk-sharing is hardly seen despite active cross-country financial markets. We reassess both risk-pooling via state-contingent bonds, and uncovered interest parity – both were believed to be different, and spuriously rejected, in previous work – in the context of a full DSGE model of the New Keynesian type. We prove that the two models are identical, both analytically and numerically. When tested as part of such a full DSGE model by indirect inference which circumvents the bias of single-equation tests, we find universal evidence of international risk-sharing.

Open Economies ReviewVol. 36(3)
Centre for Economic Policy Research (GB), Cardiff University (GB), Cardiff Metropolitan University (GB)
Openalex Percentile: Top 76%
Monetary Policy and Economic Impact
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Testing for Consumer Risk-Pooling in the Open Economy – further Results — Zhirong Ou, Patrick Minford, et al. · Open Economies Review (2024) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS