Demographic and Prognostic Factors of the Columnar Cell Variant of Papillary Thyroid Carcinoma: A National Cancer Database Study

Objective The columnar cell variant of papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC-CC) is a rare, malignant tumor of the thyroid gland. This study uses the National Cancer Database (NCDB) to analyze demographic and prognostic factors affecting the overall survival rates of PTC-CC. Methods From 2004 to 2020, 7,079 patients diagnosed with columnar cell papillary thyroid carcinoma were identified in the NCDB. Patient demographics were reviewed based on categories listed in the NCDB participant user file data dictionary. Kaplan-Meier curves, log-rank tests, and multivariable Cox hazard regression models were used to analyze the significance of demographic and prognostic factors on overall survival rates of PTC-CC. Results Multivariate analysis demonstrated each five-year increment in age was associated with a 30% increase in mortality (hazard ratio (HR) = 1.30, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.25-1.36, P < 0.001). Charlson-Deyo scores displayed similar incremental increases, such that patients with a score ≥ 3 had a 154% increase in mortality risk relative to a score of 0 (HR = 2.54; 95% CI: 1.75-3.68, P < 0.001). Black individuals had a 70% increase in mortality compared to White individuals (HR = 1.70, 95% CI: 1.25-2.30, P < 0.001), while all Other races had the highest 10-year survival rate of 92.7%. Females had a significant 37% decrease in mortality compared to males (HR = 0.63, 95% CI: 0.54-0.73, P < 0.001). Patients in the lowest income quartiles were found to have a significant increase in mortality compared to the highest income group (HR = 0.54; 95% CI: 0.41-0.71, P < 0.001). Survival rates were negatively correlated with NCDB Analytic Staging increases. Conclusion In general, age, sex, race, education, income, comorbidities, and cancer staging were found to be predictive factors of overall survival rates of PTC-CC. However, insurance status and education levels did not result in significant differences.