Using eZIS to Predict Progression from MCI to Dementia in Three Years

(1) Background: Mild cognitive impairment (MCI) due to Alzheimer's disease (AD) progresses to dementia at a higher annual rate, while other MCIs may remain stable or even improve over time. Discriminating progressive from non-progressive cases of MCI is crucial and challenging. (2) Methods: A retrospective study of individuals with MCI was conducted at a university hospital located in southern Taiwan. The researchers collected demographic data, comorbidities, the scores of cognitive tests, three easy Z-score imaging system (eZIS) indicators (severity, extent, and ratio), Fazekas scale scores, mesial temporal atrophy (MTA) scores, clinical outcomes including deterioration of Cognitive Abilities Screening Instrument, Mini-mental State Examination, Clinical Dementia Rating Sum of Box scores, and the conversion from MCI to dementia. Those who converted to dementia in three years and non-converters were compared by the three eZIS indicators to test the predictive utility, and the clinical outcomes were evaluated by regression and ROC curve analysis. (3) Results: The three eZIS indicators were significantly higher in the group of progressive MCI than in stable MCI. eZIS severity is positively correlated with a deterioration in the scores of the Cognitive Abilities Screening Instrument and Clinical Dementia Rating Sum of Box. eZIS severity is also positively correlated with conversion from MCI to dementia. The AUC for severity is 0.719, and the optimal cutoff value of severity for predicting conversion is 1.22. (4) Conclusions: During three years of follow-up, MCI individuals with greater eZIS severity were significantly associated with worse cognitive assessment scores and a higher conversion rate to dementia.