The evolution of structural gravity: The workhorse model of trade

Abstract The gravity model is the workhorse model of trade. Yet, many economists still view gravity as a reduced‐form estimating equation and apply it without guidance from theory, while others are skeptical about its usefulness for counterfactual projections. This paper offers a historical overview of the evolution of gravity, from an a‐theoretical application to an estimating computable general equilibrium model, which can be nested in more complex frameworks. Along the way, I address some misconceptions about gravity, summarize the current recommendations for gravity estimations, highlight properties that have made gravity so successful, and review the latest contributions to the related literature.

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Publication Details

Journal
Contemporary Economic Policy
Published
2024-08-11
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1111/coep.12666
Citations
18
Primary Topic
Global trade and economics
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
14.92
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article

The evolution of structural gravity: The workhorse model of trade

Yoto V. Yotov
18 citations
Contemporary Economic Policy
Global trade and economics
14.92
article

The evolution of structural gravity: The workhorse model of trade

Yoto V. Yotov
article en
18 citations

Abstract

Abstract The gravity model is the workhorse model of trade. Yet, many economists still view gravity as a reduced‐form estimating equation and apply it without guidance from theory, while others are skeptical about its usefulness for counterfactual projections. This paper offers a historical overview of the evolution of gravity, from an a‐theoretical application to an estimating computable general equilibrium model, which can be nested in more complex frameworks. Along the way, I address some misconceptions about gravity, summarize the current recommendations for gravity estimations, highlight properties that have made gravity so successful, and review the latest contributions to the related literature.

Contemporary Economic PolicyVol. 42(4)
Ifo Institute for Economic Research (DE), Drexel University (US)
Openalex Percentile: Top 1%
Global trade and economics
14.92
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