Indication of long-range correlations governing city size
City systems are characterized by the functional organization of cities on a regional or country scale. While there is a relatively good empirical and theoretical understanding of city size distributions, insights about their spatial organization remain on a conceptual level. Here, we analyze empirically the correlations between the sizes of cities (in terms of area) across long distances. Therefore, we (i) define city clusters, (ii) obtain the neighborhood network from Voronoi cells, and (iii) apply a fluctuation analysis along all shortest paths. We find that most European countries exhibit long-range correlations but in several cases these are anti-correlations. In an analogous way, we study a model inspired by Central Places Theory and find that it leads to positive long-range correlations, unless there is strong additional spatial disorder-contrary to intuition. We conclude that the interactions between cities extend over large distances reaching the country scale. Our findings have policy relevance as urban development or decline can affect cities at a considerable distance.
Authors
- Diego Rybski (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6125-7705)
- Deniz Ural (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0009-0005-0938-3962)
- Jan W. Kantelhardt (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9293-0293)
- Yunfei Li (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7023-4599)
Institutions
- Wuppertal Institute for Climate, Environment and Energy (DE)
- Leibniz Association (DE)
- Complexity Science Hub (AT)
- Leibniz Institute of Ecological Urban and Regional Development (DE)
- Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (DE)
- Martin Luther University Halle-Wittenberg (DE)
Publication Details
- Journal
- PNAS Nexus
- Published
- 2024-08-09
- DOI
- https://doi.org/10.1093/pnasnexus/pgae329
- Primary Topic
- Complex Systems and Time Series Analysis
- Type
- article
- Field-Weighted Citation Impact
- 0.00
Funders
- Alexander von Humboldt-Stiftung
- Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft