Odd Log-Logistic XGamma Model: Bayesian and Classical Estimation with Risk Analysis Utilizing Reinsurance Revenues Data

Effective risk exposure descriptions can be made using continuous distributions. To illustrate the level of exposure to a certain danger, it is better to use a single number, or at the very least, a small set of numbers. These risk exposure numbers, which are commonly referred to as significant risk indicators, are unquestionably the output of a particular model. In this regard, five key indicators are utilized to define the risk exposure in the reinsurance revenues data. For this specific purpose we introduce a new distribution called odd log-logistic XGamma model . We estimated the parameters using maximum-likelihood method, least squares method and Bayesian method. Monte Carlo simulation study is performed under a set of conditions and controls. The risk exposure under the reinsurance revenue data was also described using five important risk indicators, including value-at-risk, tail-value-at-risk, tail variance, tail mean-variance, and mean excess loss function. These statistical measures were developed for the proposed new model.

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Publication Details

Journal
Journal of Statistical Theory and Applications
Published
2024-08-05
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/s44199-024-00086-8
Citations
1
Primary Topic
Risk and Portfolio Optimization
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.49
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article

Odd Log-Logistic XGamma Model: Bayesian and Classical Estimation with Risk Analysis Utilizing Reinsurance Revenues Data

Mahmoud Afshari, Morad Alizadeh, Haitham M. Yousof, Vahid Ranjbar
1 citations
Journal of Statistical Theory and Applications
Risk and Portfolio Optimization
0.49
article

Odd Log-Logistic XGamma Model: Bayesian and Classical Estimation with Risk Analysis Utilizing Reinsurance Revenues Data

Mahmoud Afshari, Morad Alizadeh, Haitham M. Yousof, Vahid Ranjbar
article en
1 citations

Abstract

Effective risk exposure descriptions can be made using continuous distributions. To illustrate the level of exposure to a certain danger, it is better to use a single number, or at the very least, a small set of numbers. These risk exposure numbers, which are commonly referred to as significant risk indicators, are unquestionably the output of a particular model. In this regard, five key indicators are utilized to define the risk exposure in the reinsurance revenues data. For this specific purpose we introduce a new distribution called odd log-logistic XGamma model . We estimated the parameters using maximum-likelihood method, least squares method and Bayesian method. Monte Carlo simulation study is performed under a set of conditions and controls. The risk exposure under the reinsurance revenue data was also described using five important risk indicators, including value-at-risk, tail-value-at-risk, tail variance, tail mean-variance, and mean excess loss function. These statistical measures were developed for the proposed new model.

Journal of Statistical Theory and ApplicationsVol. 23(3)
Golestan University (IR), Benha University (EG), Persian Gulf University (IR)
Decent work and economic growth
Openalex Percentile: Top 32%
Risk and Portfolio Optimization
0.49
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Odd Log-Logistic XGamma Model: Bayesian and Classical Estimation with Risk Analysis Utilizing Reinsurance Revenues Data — Mahmoud Afshari, Morad Alizadeh, et al. · Journal of Statistical Theory and Applications (2024) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS