Large-scale genetic correlation studies explore the causal relationship and potential mechanism between gut microbiota and COVID-19-associated risks

Recent observational studies suggest that gut microorganisms are involved in the onset and development of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19), but the potential causal relationship behind them remains unclear. Exposure data were derived from the MiBioGen consortium, encompassing 211 gut microbiota (n = 18,340). The outcome data were sourced from the COVID-19 host genetics initiative (round 7), including COVID-19 severity (n = 1,086,211), hospitalization (n = 2,095,324), and susceptibility (n = 2,597,856). First, a two-sample Mendelian randomization (TSMR) was performed to investigate the causal effect between gut microbiota and COVID-19 outcomes. Second, a two-step MR was used to explore the potential mediators and underlying mechanisms. Third, several sensitivity analyses were performed to verify the robustness of the results. Five gut microbes were found to have a potential causality with COVID-19 severity, namely Betaproteobacteria (beta = 0.096, p = 0.034), Christensenellaceae (beta = -0.092, p = 0.023), Adlercreutzia (beta = 0.072, p = 0.048), Coprococcus 1 (beta = 0.089, p = 0.032), Eisenbergiella (beta = 0.064, p = 0.024). Seven gut microbes were found to have a potential causality with COVID-19 hospitalization, namely Victivallaceae (beta = 0.037, p = 0.028), Actinomyces (beta = 0.047, p = 0.046), Coprococcus 2 (beta = -0.061, p = 0.031), Dorea (beta = 0.067, p = 0.016), Peptococcus (beta = -0.035, p = 0.049), Rikenellaceae RC9 gut group (beta = 0.034, p = 0.018), and Proteobacteria (beta = -0.069, p = 0.035). Two gut microbes were found to have a potential causality with COVID-19 susceptibility, namely Holdemanella (beta = -0.024, p = 0.023) and Lachnospiraceae FCS020 group (beta = 0.026, p = 0.027). Multi-omics mediation analyses indicate that numerous plasma proteins, metabolites, and immune factors are critical mediators linking gut microbiota with COVID-19 outcomes. Sensitivity analysis suggested no significant heterogeneity or pleiotropy. These findings revealed the causal correlation and potential mechanism between gut microbiota and COVID-19 outcomes, which may improve our understanding of the gut-lung axis in the etiology and pathology of COVID-19 in the future.