Accounting for spatio-temporal distribution changes in size-structured abundance estimates for a data-limited stock of <i>Raja clavata</i>

Abstract Vulnerability of elasmobranchs to fishing and declines in populations over the last decades have prompted calls for improved fisheries management and conservation efforts. The Raja clavata (Thornback ray) population in the Greater North Sea ecoregion is a population that has historically shown marked declines with increasing industrialized fishing, while a lack of robust catch data of commercial fisheries hampers assessment of population abundance. Using fisheries-independent survey catch data haul-by-haul surface area estimates, we employ integrated-nested Laplace approximation to estimate total and size-class abundances of R. clavata. By accounting for spatio-temporal changes in the population, size selectivity between survey gears, and minimizing bias from partially overlapping survey areas, we demonstrate major changes in the abundance and distribution over the past three decades. Notably, increases of abundance in the Eastern English Channel and south-eastern North Sea result in an overall increase in the abundance and biomass of the population. Our findings expand understanding of the spatio-temporal dynamics and exploitation of this data-limited stock, emphasizing the potential for improved population abundance estimates to inform future stock assessments.