Pattern Matching for Multivariate Time Series Forecasting

ABSTRACT This article presents a new approach to multivariate time series forecasting. While most existing techniques in the literature focus on forecasting a single time series, forecasting multiple time series is a common goal in many applications. To deal with this, we introduce a new method, Weighted Nearest Neighbors for multivariate time series (WNN multi ). This method forecasts the future of a given series by identifying similar patterns not only in its own past but also in the past of related time series. Once the k nearest neighbors are identified, forecasts are made by averaging their future values. We evaluate the proposed approach on several real‐world datasets and compare its performance against state‐of‐the‐art forecasting techniques. The results demonstrate that our method achieves comparable or significantly improved performance, showcasing its effectiveness.

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Publication Details

Journal
Statistical Analysis and Data Mining The ASA Data Science Journal
Published
2026-05-29
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1002/sam.70077
Primary Topic
Time Series Analysis and Forecasting
Type
article
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article

Pattern Matching for Multivariate Time Series Forecasting

Julien Jacques, Julien Ah-Pine, Noé Lebreton, M. Neveu
Statistical Analysis and Data Mining The ASA Data Science Journal
Time Series Analysis and Forecasting
article

Pattern Matching for Multivariate Time Series Forecasting

Julien Jacques, Julien Ah-Pine, Noé Lebreton, M. Neveu
article en

Abstract

ABSTRACT This article presents a new approach to multivariate time series forecasting. While most existing techniques in the literature focus on forecasting a single time series, forecasting multiple time series is a common goal in many applications. To deal with this, we introduce a new method, Weighted Nearest Neighbors for multivariate time series (WNN multi ). This method forecasts the future of a given series by identifying similar patterns not only in its own past but also in the past of related time series. Once the k nearest neighbors are identified, forecasts are made by averaging their future values. We evaluate the proposed approach on several real‐world datasets and compare its performance against state‐of‐the‐art forecasting techniques. The results demonstrate that our method achieves comparable or significantly improved performance, showcasing its effectiveness.

Statistical Analysis and Data Mining The ASA Data Science JournalVol. 19(3)
Université Claude Bernard Lyon 1 (FR), Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (FR), Université Lumière Lyon 2 (FR), Entrepôts, Représentation et Ingénierie des Connaissances (FR), Laboratoire d'Informatique, de Modélisation et d'Optimisation des Systèmes (FR), University of Clermont Auvergne (FR), Prism Clinical Research (US), Clermont Université (FR), Institut de Recherche pour le Développement (FR), Centre d'Études et de Recherches sur le Développement International (FR)
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Time Series Analysis and Forecasting
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