Mathematical analysis of a delayed SEIRDS epidemics models: deterministic and stochastic approach

The primary goal of this research is to investigate the impact of delay on the dynamics of the Susceptible-Exposed-Infected-Recovered-Death and Susceptible (SEIRDS) model, to which we add a stochastic term to account for uncertainty in COVID-19 parameter estimations. We run two models, one deterministic and one stochastic, and show that their solutions exist and are unique. We also numerically investigate the impact of immunity loss on the emerging time of a new wave, as well as the necessary condition for the extinction and persistence of the disease.

Authors

Institutions

Publication Details

Journal
Stochastics
Published
2026-05-22
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1080/17442508.2026.2662251
Citations
1
Primary Topic
COVID-19 epidemiological studies
Type
preprint
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00

Funders

Controls
|||
ALL TIME
JAN
FEB
MAR
APR
MAY
JUN
JUL
AUG
SEP
OCT
preprint

Mathematical analysis of a delayed SEIRDS epidemics models: deterministic and stochastic approach

Mohamed Ben Alaya, Walid Ben Aribi, Slimane Ben Miled
1 citations
Stochastics
COVID-19 epidemiological studies
preprint

Mathematical analysis of a delayed SEIRDS epidemics models: deterministic and stochastic approach

Mohamed Ben Alaya, Walid Ben Aribi, Slimane Ben Miled
preprint en
1 citations

Abstract

The primary goal of this research is to investigate the impact of delay on the dynamics of the Susceptible-Exposed-Infected-Recovered-Death and Susceptible (SEIRDS) model, to which we add a stochastic term to account for uncertainty in COVID-19 parameter estimations. We run two models, one deterministic and one stochastic, and show that their solutions exist and are unique. We also numerically investigate the impact of immunity loss on the emerging time of a new wave, as well as the necessary condition for the extinction and persistence of the disease.

Stochastics
Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (FR), Laboratoire de Mathématiques Raphaël Salem (FR), École Supérieure Privée d'Ingénierie et de Technologies (TN), Institut Pasteur de Tunis (TN), Esprit (Slovakia) (SK), Université de Rouen Normandie (FR), Tunis El Manar University (TN)
Ministère de l'Europe et des Affaires Étrangères
Good health and well-being
Openalex Percentile: Top 100%
COVID-19 epidemiological studies
AI Navigator

Ask Laika to Summarize, Analyze, and Connect papers live on the map.

Summarize Papers & Methodologies

Extract key findings, datasets, and comparative methods across publications.

Benchmark Rankings & Visual Analytics

Rank top research institutions, authors, funders, topics, and journals by Field-Weighted Citation Impact (FWCI) and paper volume with instant charts.

Connect Distant Disciplines

Bridge topological clusters on the map to find hidden collaborative intersections.