Estimation of the spectral measure from convex combinations of regularly varying random vectors

The extremal dependence structure of a regularly varying random vector X is fully described by its limiting spectral measure. In this paper, we investigate how to recover characteristics of the measure, such as extremal coefficients, from the extremal behaviour of convex combinations of components of X. Our considerations result in a class of new estimators of moments of the corresponding combinations for the spectral vector. We show asymptotic normality by means of a functional limit theorem and, focusing on the estimation of extremal coefficients, we verify that the minimal asymptotic variance can be achieved by a plug-in estimator using subsampling bootstrap. We illustrate the benefits of our approach on simulated and real data.

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Publication Details

Journal
The Annals of Statistics
Published
2024-12-01
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1214/24-aos2387
Primary Topic
Hermeneutics and Narrative Identity
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00

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article

Estimation of the spectral measure from convex combinations of regularly varying random vectors

Marco Oesting
The Annals of Statistics
Hermeneutics and Narrative Identity
article

Estimation of the spectral measure from convex combinations of regularly varying random vectors

Marco Oesting
article en

Abstract

The extremal dependence structure of a regularly varying random vector X is fully described by its limiting spectral measure. In this paper, we investigate how to recover characteristics of the measure, such as extremal coefficients, from the extremal behaviour of convex combinations of components of X. Our considerations result in a class of new estimators of moments of the corresponding combinations for the spectral vector. We show asymptotic normality by means of a functional limit theorem and, focusing on the estimation of extremal coefficients, we verify that the minimal asymptotic variance can be achieved by a plug-in estimator using subsampling bootstrap. We illustrate the benefits of our approach on simulated and real data.

The Annals of StatisticsVol. 52(6)
University of Stuttgart (DE), Sorbonne Université (FR), Laboratoire de Physique Théorique et Modèles Statistiques (FR), Laboratoire de Probabilités, Statistique et Modélisation (FR)
Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft, Agence Nationale de la Recherche
Openalex Percentile: Top 99%
Hermeneutics and Narrative Identity
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