Labor Market Adjustment to Third-Party Competition: Evidence from Mexico

China's exports reduce wages in importing countries, but few studies have looked at competition in third party markets. We examine labor market outcomes in Mexico's apparel and textile sectors associated with U.S. apparel and textile imports from China. Using data on U.S. imports in conjunction with quarterly Mexican labor force surveys, we show that U.S. imports from China are associated with a reduction of employment in Mexico's textile and apparel sectors. These effects are the most pronounced for the least educated. Wages were not impacted on net except for the poorest indicating stronger local labor market ties in the left tail of the wage distribution. Notably, reductions in labor demand due to reduced textile imports had spill-overs beyond these sectors. Finally, the effects of trade-induced demand shocks dissipate after about two quarters indicating low firm-level adjustment costs.

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Publication Details

Journal
World Scientific Studies in International Economics
Published
2026-04-01
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1142/9789819825295_0004
Primary Topic
Global trade and economics
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00
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article

Labor Market Adjustment to Third-Party Competition: Evidence from Mexico

Timothy J. Halliday, Raymond Robertson, Sindhu Vasireddy
World Scientific Studies in International Economics
Global trade and economics
article

Labor Market Adjustment to Third-Party Competition: Evidence from Mexico

Timothy J. Halliday, Raymond Robertson, Sindhu Vasireddy
article en

Abstract

China's exports reduce wages in importing countries, but few studies have looked at competition in third party markets. We examine labor market outcomes in Mexico's apparel and textile sectors associated with U.S. apparel and textile imports from China. Using data on U.S. imports in conjunction with quarterly Mexican labor force surveys, we show that U.S. imports from China are associated with a reduction of employment in Mexico's textile and apparel sectors. These effects are the most pronounced for the least educated. Wages were not impacted on net except for the poorest indicating stronger local labor market ties in the left tail of the wage distribution. Notably, reductions in labor demand due to reduced textile imports had spill-overs beyond these sectors. Finally, the effects of trade-induced demand shocks dissipate after about two quarters indicating low firm-level adjustment costs.

World Scientific Studies in International Economics
University of Hawaiʻi at Mānoa (US), University of Hawaii System (US), IZA - Institute of Labor Economics (DE), SRM University (IN), Macalester College (US), Texas A&M University (US)
Decent work and economic growth
Openalex Percentile: Top 99%
Global trade and economics
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