Can the Unemployed Borrow? Implications for Public Insurance

We empirically establish that unemployed individuals maintain significant access to credit and that upon a layoff, the unconstrained borrow while the constrained default and delever. Motivated by these findings, we develop a theory of credit lines and labor income risk to analyze optimal transfers to the unemployed. Since credit lines offer fixed interest rates and limits, credit lines are unresponsive to layoffs and provide greater consumption insurance relative to when debt is repriced period by period. At US levels of credit lines, the government can optimally reduce transfers to the unemployed, whereas this is not true when debt is counterfactually repriced period by period.

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Publication Details

Journal
Journal of Political Economy
Published
2024-08-20
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1086/729583
Citations
8
Primary Topic
Labor market dynamics and wage inequality
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00

Funders

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article

Can the Unemployed Borrow? Implications for Public Insurance

J. Carter Braxton, Kyle Herkenhoff, Gordon M. Phillips
8 citations
Journal of Political Economy
Labor market dynamics and wage inequality
article

Can the Unemployed Borrow? Implications for Public Insurance

J. Carter Braxton, Kyle Herkenhoff, Gordon M. Phillips
article en
8 citations

Abstract

We empirically establish that unemployed individuals maintain significant access to credit and that upon a layoff, the unconstrained borrow while the constrained default and delever. Motivated by these findings, we develop a theory of credit lines and labor income risk to analyze optimal transfers to the unemployed. Since credit lines offer fixed interest rates and limits, credit lines are unresponsive to layoffs and provide greater consumption insurance relative to when debt is repriced period by period. At US levels of credit lines, the government can optimally reduce transfers to the unemployed, whereas this is not true when debt is counterfactually repriced period by period.

Journal of Political EconomyVol. 132(9)
Dartmouth College (US), University of Minnesota (US), National Bureau of Economic Research (US), Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis (US)
National Science Foundation, Alfred P. Sloan Foundation, Washington Center for Equitable Growth
Decent work and economic growth
Openalex Percentile: Top 100%
Labor market dynamics and wage inequality
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