Optimal Fiscal and Monetary Policy with Distorting Taxes

When government debt pays a lower return than private assets, the reasoning in Friedman’s (1969) essay on the optimal quantity of money suggests that it would be optimal to expand the debt until its return matched that on private assets. When the only other source of revenue is a distorting tax, however, this is not generally true. In a perfect foresight model, a benevolent government that can make credible commitments chooses a large gap in returns initially and high distorting taxation in the distant future. The optimal path of taxation is time inconsistent, with ever-increasing temptation to abandon the path. (JEL E23, E43, E52, E62, H20, H61, H63)

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Publication Details

Journal
American Economic Journal Macroeconomics
Published
2025-03-28
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1257/mac.20220245
Citations
11
Primary Topic
Fiscal Policy and Economic Growth
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
3.13
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article

Optimal Fiscal and Monetary Policy with Distorting Taxes

Christopher A. Sims
11 citations
American Economic Journal Macroeconomics
Fiscal Policy and Economic Growth
3.13
article

Optimal Fiscal and Monetary Policy with Distorting Taxes

Christopher A. Sims
article en
11 citations

Abstract

When government debt pays a lower return than private assets, the reasoning in Friedman’s (1969) essay on the optimal quantity of money suggests that it would be optimal to expand the debt until its return matched that on private assets. When the only other source of revenue is a distorting tax, however, this is not generally true. In a perfect foresight model, a benevolent government that can make credible commitments chooses a large gap in returns initially and high distorting taxation in the distant future. The optimal path of taxation is time inconsistent, with ever-increasing temptation to abandon the path. (JEL E23, E43, E52, E62, H20, H61, H63)

American Economic Journal MacroeconomicsVol. 17(2)
Princeton University (US)
Decent work and economic growth
Openalex Percentile: Top 10%
Fiscal Policy and Economic Growth
3.13
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