Reflection, Conditionalization and Indeterminacy about the Future
This paper shows that any view of future contingent claims that treats such claims as having indeterminate truth values or as simply being false implies probabilistic irrationality. This is because such views of the future imply violations of reflection, special reflection and conditionalization.
Authors
- Michael J. Shaffer
Publication Details
- Journal
- PhilPapers (PhilPapers Foundation)
- Published
- 2024-08-05
- Citations
- 1
- Primary Topic
- Space Science and Extraterrestrial Life
- Type
- article
- Field-Weighted Citation Impact
- 0.00