Reflection, Conditionalization and Indeterminacy about the Future

This paper shows that any view of future contingent claims that treats such claims as having indeterminate truth values or as simply being false implies probabilistic irrationality. This is because such views of the future imply violations of reflection, special reflection and conditionalization.

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Publication Details

Journal
PhilPapers (PhilPapers Foundation)
Published
2024-08-05
Citations
1
Primary Topic
Space Science and Extraterrestrial Life
Type
article
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article

Reflection, Conditionalization and Indeterminacy about the Future

Michael J. Shaffer
1 citations
PhilPapers (PhilPapers Foundation)
Space Science and Extraterrestrial Life
article

Reflection, Conditionalization and Indeterminacy about the Future

Michael J. Shaffer
article en
1 citations

Abstract

This paper shows that any view of future contingent claims that treats such claims as having indeterminate truth values or as simply being false implies probabilistic irrationality. This is because such views of the future imply violations of reflection, special reflection and conditionalization.

PhilPapers (PhilPapers Foundation)
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Space Science and Extraterrestrial Life
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Reflection, Conditionalization and Indeterminacy about the Future — Michael J. Shaffer · PhilPapers (PhilPapers Foundation) (2024) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS