How preferential is world trade?

We calculate how much of world trade is preferential, and at which margin. We are using a detailed dataset based on tariff-line import and tariff data of the 20 largest importers, covering almost 90% of world imports in 2008. We show that while around 50% of world trade is between countries that apply preferences to each other and could therefore be considered “preferential”, only 16% of world trade is eligible for preferences and preferential margins are often very small. Our results show that less than 2% of world imports - excluding intra-EU trade - are eligible for preferences with a margin of 10 percentage points or more and less than 0.5% of trade has preferences above 20 percentage points. Assuming static trade flows and full utilization of preferences, all preferences together reduce the global trade-weighted tariff from 3% to 2%, which means that the global trade-weighted preference margin is 1.0%. Around 90% of this reduction is due to reciprocal preference regimes (PTAs, customs unions) with the remainder due to non-reciprocal regimes such as the GSP.

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Publication Details

Journal
Graduate Institute Geneva Institutional Repository (Graduate Institute of International and Development Studies)
Published
2025-05-15
DOI
https://doi.org/10.71609/iheid-jrpx-nf23
Citations
24
Primary Topic
Global trade and economics
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
3.09
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article

How preferential is world trade?

Andreas Lendle, Theresa Carpenter
24 citations
Graduate Institute Geneva Institutional Repository (Graduate Institute of International and Development Studies)
Global trade and economics
3.09
article

How preferential is world trade?

Andreas Lendle, Theresa Carpenter
article en
24 citations

Abstract

We calculate how much of world trade is preferential, and at which margin. We are using a detailed dataset based on tariff-line import and tariff data of the 20 largest importers, covering almost 90% of world imports in 2008. We show that while around 50% of world trade is between countries that apply preferences to each other and could therefore be considered “preferential”, only 16% of world trade is eligible for preferences and preferential margins are often very small. Our results show that less than 2% of world imports - excluding intra-EU trade - are eligible for preferences with a margin of 10 percentage points or more and less than 0.5% of trade has preferences above 20 percentage points. Assuming static trade flows and full utilization of preferences, all preferences together reduce the global trade-weighted tariff from 3% to 2%, which means that the global trade-weighted preference margin is 1.0%. Around 90% of this reduction is due to reciprocal preference regimes (PTAs, customs unions) with the remainder due to non-reciprocal regimes such as the GSP.

Graduate Institute Geneva Institutional Repository (Graduate Institute of International and Development Studies)
Graduate Institute of International and Development Studies (CH)
Partnerships for the goals
Openalex Percentile: Top 14%
Global trade and economics
3.09
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How preferential is world trade? — Andreas Lendle, Theresa Carpenter · Graduate Institute Geneva Institutional Repository (Graduate Institute of International and Development Studies) (2025) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS